#### 1. Current performance (short-term negative signals)
- Sharp correction: a decrease of -4.69% with strong sell flows (**928,050 SUI-** in large flows).
- Trading activity:
- Daily trading volume $1.84 billion (14.60% of market cap).
- Highest volatility in 2-4 hours (up to 23.78% change).
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#### 2. Core indicators
- Market cap gap:
- Core value: $12.59 billion.
- Fully discounted value: $37.71 billion (a difference of 3 times!).
- Coin supply:
- 3.34 billion SUI traded out of 10 billion (future inflation risks).
- Historical levels
- Highest price: $5.3519
- Lowest price: $0.3643
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#### 3. Flow analysis (selling dominance)
- Large flows:
- 3.75 million SUI- sold over 5 days.
- Large sell orders (**M 2.74-** in 30 minutes).
- Single positive signal:
- Some medium buying flows (**M 43.34** in 2 hours).
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### Trading recommendations (smart strategy)
#### A. For short-term traders:
1. Selling on the rise:
- Entering sell positions at $1.15 if the rebound fails.
- Stop loss at $1.25 (+8.7% from the selling price).
2. Patience to buy the dip:
- Waiting for a test of $0.95 (psychological support) to enter a buy.
#### B. For long-term investors:
1. Wait for a deeper drop:
- Ideal buying zone at $0.75-0.85 (close to the issuance price of $0.1 average).
2. Risk management:
- Not exceeding 3% of the portfolio due to:
- Data discrepancies
- Future inflation risks
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### Future forecasts (two main scenarios)
#### Bullish scenario:
- If it bounces from $0.95 with improved flows:
- Initial target: $1.30 (+36% from support).
- Testing $1.50 with overall market improvement.
#### Bearish scenario:
- If it breaks $0.90:
- Drop to $0.70 (-22% from the break).
- Probability of testing $0.50 with continued institutional selling.
---
### Summary (in brief)
SUI/USDT faces:
- Strong short-term selling pressures.
- Good buying opportunity at strong support levels.
- High risks due to:
- Data discrepancies
- Potential supply increase of 300%
> "Playing here is like walking through a minefield - you need an accurate map and excellent timing!"
Final advice: Keep track of the development team's updates on remaining release plans, as they may change the rules of the game overnight!
