From Liquidation to Financial Freedom: 15 Little-Known Survival Rules in the Crypto World
After witnessing firsthand in a VIP room at an exchange how manipulators control the market, I finally understood the truth behind this market. Today, I will reveal these 15 survival rules that cost me 30 million in tuition.
1. Platform Covert Wars
1. Lifeline of Exchanges
BNB only dropped 56% during the 2022 bear market, while BTC fell 68%
Key Data: Platform tokens had an average decline of 23% less than mainstream coins during extreme market conditions.
2. USDT Issuance Alarm
Historical Data: After each issuance exceeding 1 billion, the probability of a decline within 7 days is 87%
Case Study: After issuing 2 billion in March 2023, BTC plummeted 28% in a week.
2. Institutional Game Theory
3. Grayscale Holdings Code
When holdings increase by more than 5%, the average increase over 3 months is 43%
Contrary Indicator: When holdings decrease, the probability of a decline reaches 79%.
4. Quarterly Rebalancing Window
The last 5 trading days of each quarter see a volatility surge of 58%
Smart Money Strategy: Positioning 3 days in advance for institutional accumulation.
3. On-Chain Secret Language
5. Death Signal of Whales
When the top 10 addresses have no transactions for 7 days, the risk of a crash reaches 83%
Escape Signal: A sudden transfer exceeding 1% of the total supply.
6. Sideways Breakout Law
After being sideways for more than 60 days, the probability of a true breakout is 78%
Key Verification: Must be paired with large on-chain transfers for validation.
4. Market Sentiment
7. Social Heat Counter Indicator
When “Bitcoin” trends on Weibo, the probability of a pullback within 3 days is 92%
Extreme Case: On the day of the trending search in 2021, BTC plummeted by $12,000.
8. USDT Premium Trap
When the premium exceeds 2%, the average maximum drawdown within 7 days is 24%
Correct Usage: Only when the premium turns negative is it the best buying point.
5. Time Window
9. Weekend Massacre Moment
The average volatility on Saturdays and Sundays is 3.7 times that of weekdays.
Bloody Lesson: In May 2023, SOL crashed 43% over the weekend.
10. Policy Implementation Time Lag
The third day after regulatory news experiences the highest volatility.
Golden Window: The 37th minute after the news is released.
6. Technical Covert Wars
11. Funding Rate Hunting
After 3 consecutive days of negative values, going long has an 81% success rate.
Fatal Detail: Must be verified with changes in position volume.
12. Fee Conspiracy
When the three major exchanges simultaneously waive fees, the probability of liquidation surges.
If you don't understand crypto yourself, I suggest you follow Wen Ge!
Whether it's fresh goods or harmonious transactions! Success is not just based on luck; choices may be more important than effort.
Remember, in this market, the more you know, the longer you survive!