Big G's ETH Unsticking Guide: Stay calm, the opportunity is still there!
Brothers, today ETH's price is hovering around $2400, I know many are stuck badly at $2300-$2500. Don't panic, let's get straight to the point!
Current Situation Analysis
ETH has indeed had a rollercoaster in May, jumping from a low of $2322 to $2645, and now it has pulled back to around $2403. Looking at the data, $2322 is the iron bottom line. If it breaks again, it may drop to $2200 (weekly MA5 support is in the 2270-2200 range). But good news is here: whales have recently swept up 4598 ETH (average price $2508) in the past week, and institutions like BlackRock are promoting staking ETFs, clearly wanting to make big moves.
Unsticking Strategy
Lay Flat Party: For those with positions not exceeding 50%, it's recommended to hold on! In June, there will be a Pectra upgrade (improving staking income and validation efficiency), plus Hong Kong's ETF allows 30% staking, so the probability of reaching $3000 is very high
Top-up Party: $2350-$2400 is the golden zone, buy once every $50 drop (e.g., $2400→$2350→$2300), but if it drops below $2280, you must stop loss
T-traders: Short-term pressure points look at $2500-$2600, reduce positions by 30% in this range, buy back if it drops back to $2350, repeatedly make small profits
Future Outlook
In the long run, ETH has three major fires:
Staking income + ETF combo (China's ETF has allowed 30% staking of holdings)
RWA tokenization scale surpasses $8 billion, enterprise-level applications are landing
After the deflation model upgrade, the annual destruction rate exceeds 7%
Analysts predict there is a chance to touch $4000 by the end of the year, reaching $8000 next year is not a myth (referring to the similarity of August 2024's trend at 72%)
Risk Warning
Bitcoin conference around May 27 is prone to spikes (historical pattern is to rise before the meeting and drop after)
The risk difference of the MACD death cross is only 0.18, six consecutive weekly declines need to be cautious
The volatility transmission effect of US stocks has strengthened (S&P 500 includes Coinbase, causing capital diversion)
Remember! The current market plays fast moves, focus on two things:
BTC movements after 8 PM when US stocks open
Can ETH hold the daily MA5 (currently $2570)
Operation Mantra:
$2300 does not break, buy boldly; $2500 do not be greedy, run timely
MACD death cross, first reduce positions; ETF landing, then go all in$ETH #ETH走势分析
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