Let the crocodile get full before you cross the river: don't risk your life in the double kill market.
Author: Coin Sea Beacon · Eastern Saint
In the past few days, the market has one word: kill! Two words: long and short! Three words: don't open a position!
Have you encountered this situation: bullish, and suddenly it drops to hit your stop loss; bearish, and it instantly bounces back to sweep your stop loss line. Whether you go long or short, the market seems to have 'fishing law enforcement' that accurately harvests you. This kind of market is typical—when Wall Street crocodiles are hunting, you insist on swimming across the river.
Crocodile rule: it's not that you can't earn, it's that the crocodile isn't full.
There is a vivid saying in the financial market: 'Never swim across a river while crocodiles are feeding.'
What does it mean?
When the market fluctuates violently and the direction is unclear, the main forces, institutions, and big market players are all sending signals, harvesting retail investors. At this time, if you recklessly enter, you are taking risks, not opportunities. What you earn a little is called 'luck', and what you lose is called 'cost'.
What's more critical is—while you might not make much, can you afford to lose?
Double kill: This is not trading, it's a gamble with your life.
What is 'double kill'?
Killing long: the price just rose a bit, and then immediately drops, killing the longs after luring them in.
Killing short: after a drop, it instantly rises, continuing to wash out after short positions are blown.
You think you are trading, but in fact, you are being forced to play the 'mouse trap' game. Every time you try to grab a profit, you risk getting your fingers caught.
In this kind of market, most people are not making money, but losing emotions, confidence, and even capital.
Making money = following the trend + sense of security, not confronting uncertainty head-on.
Experienced traders understand a truth: truly good market conditions are trends that you can understand, follow, and feel secure about.
Once you get in, eat steadily, even if slowly, you can still gain the entire profit. In the current high-frequency reversal, false breakouts, and false pullbacks, no matter how many technical indicators you have, they will betray you, and you won't grasp certainty at all.
So I give you a piece of advice:
You are not here to be a hero; you are here to make a profit.
Operational advice: being in cash is the strongest position, and observing is top-level risk control.
Don't be afraid of being in cash.
Being in cash is not admitting defeat, but preserving strength for better opportunities. Real experts avoid 99 'wrong killings' before encountering that one big profit.
What kind of market conditions are worth your action?
There is a clear trend, moving averages are diverging.
Breakthrough key levels with volume.
Pull back to confirm support/resistance is not broken.
And what about this one now?
Once you feel that 'the opportunity has arrived', the main force tells you 'actually, we are luring you in'.
Conclusion: If you are earning money that you can't afford to lose, then don't force it.
There are always opportunities in the market; what is lacking is patience and discipline.
If you want to earn money that truly belongs to you, first learn to give up the market trends that do not belong to you.
This is not conservatism, but maturity.
This is not weakness, but respect for your own account.
Let the crocodile get full before you cross the river, so you won't become the 'meat' right by its mouth.