💹 Real-time Bitcoin price (14:20 on May 19, 2025 – Hanoi time)
• Current price: $102,613
• Change level: -$914 (-0.88%)
• Highest of the day: $106,540
• Lowest of the day: $102,381
📉 Main reason for the market's deep decline
1. Escalating trade tensions
The US imposes tariffs of up to 46% on imports from China and Vietnam, pushing market sentiment into a state of global recession concerns.
2. Market panic sentiment
The Fear & Greed index has fallen into the 'Extreme Fear' zone. Retail investors are fleeing.
3. Large-scale profit-taking
BTC once hit $107,000 and now is the time for many whales to take profits after the hot rise since early May.
4. Hedge funds withdrawing capital
Arbitrage strategies between spot and futures ETFs have been closed, causing rapid capital outflow.
5. Risk of FED tightening money
US inflation has not decreased as expected, increasing the likelihood that the FED will keep interest rates high for longer.
6. Unclear 'national Bitcoin reserve' policy
Statements from the Trump campaign have led the market to have misleading expectations, followed by disappointment due to lack of specific plans.
🔮 48-hour trend forecast (using simulations from supercomputers)
1. Negative scenario – Further decline (50%)
If Bitcoin cannot hold the $102,000 mark, it is likely to drop further to the strong support zone of $98,000–$100,000.
2. Technical rebound scenario – Slight increase (30%)
If bottom-fishing buying appears, especially from institutions or large funds, BTC could recover to the $105,000–$106,000 range.
3. Sideways scenario – Short-term accumulation (20%)
The market may move sideways in the $102,000–$104,000 range to stabilize before the next volatility.
✅ Conclusion
The market is facing many macro pressures and negative sentiment. In the next 48 hours, the downward trend continues to dominate, especially if Bitcoin breaks below the $102,000 mark. Investors should maintain discipline, avoid emotional trading, and consider staying out if there are no clear reversal signals.
Please support the author by clicking on the cryptocurrency chart $BTC below to see details and trade directly on Binance.