Jerome Powell recently spoke — as usual, the topics were: inflation, interest rates, and the idea of a "soft landing." You hope the market expresses its opinion.
But what happened?
Calm. Excellent but lifeless reaction. No significant panic.
This is not calm — it could be a trap.
THE CALM OF DECEPTION, REAL PREPARATION
Yes, slight movements in prices were observed. But:
No significant selling pressure
No sign of a significant increase in volume
Movement that takes out retail positions
Just confusion. Mild chop. And then calm.
This is not common — it's a clever trick.
TRAP STRATEGY
Everything could be happening beneath the surface like this:
Retail traders get involved — some short, some long
The market is sluggish — people become careless
Weekend volume decreases
Emotions cool down — and then a sudden shock comes
When?
Sunday night to Monday morning.
The week’s lowest liquidity time — when big players get hurt.
PRO TRADER NOT JUST CHARTS, THEY READ YOU
This game is about mentality:
Shake the market with some news
Traders take positions in a hurry
Leave the market in calm for a while
Then suddenly strike when no one is watching
Result? Both — long and short — traders lose on both sides.
WHY A DUMP CAN HAPPEN IN THE NEXT STEP
CME Futures open Sunday night — new levels are set
Crypto is still in thin liquidity — movements happen easily. Mixed emotions = liquidation for traders on both sides.
Examples?
Fresh examples?
Sunday night flash crash (Asia hours)
Monday morning's drop
Low volume = more slippage
WEEKEND MONITORING LIST
Stop zones: just above the highs and just below the lows
Difference between Open Interest and Price: Indication of pressure
Sunday gap: If it opens with a gap and stays, be alert
ETH and BTC: They often signal first
FINAL THOUGHTS
Just because the market was calm after Powell, it doesn't mean everything is fine.
Real movement occurs when people become careless.
Ask yourself:
Are you part of the crowd too?
Are you ready for volatile movements in low volume?
Are you looking at the right indicators?
My perspective:
The real game is yet to begin.
Stay alert. Be flexible. The game can change Sunday night.