This morning, Trump dropped a bombshell announcement, claiming that within the next two to three weeks, he may unilaterally set new tariff rates for multiple trade partners. However, the market generally holds a cautiously optimistic attitude, with most institutions assessing that even if the policy is implemented, its impact will not be overly aggressive. Due to the U.S. stock market being closed over the weekend, while the Bitcoin market remains active, the current trading atmosphere on Saturday is relatively calm. However, it is worth noting that from tomorrow night to Monday daytime will become a crucial observation period. With low market liquidity over the weekend, even a small amount of selling could trigger significant price declines, while a small influx of funds could also lead to rapid price increases, bringing more uncertainty to the market. Additionally, the downgrade event is expected to have a short-term impact on the U.S. stock market on Monday, likely obstructing the previously continuous upward trend. The negative news from tariff policies, combined with multiple factors like credit rating downgrades, will continue to disturb market sentiment in the short term. However, looking back at historical experience, the impacts of such unexpected events often display phased characteristics, and as the market gradually digests, subsequent trends will return to the logic driven by fundamentals.
==================================
💎
💎
==================================
Bitcoin touched the resistance level of $104,500 in the early morning and then began a volatile downward trend, finding support and rebounding near $102,500, with the current price maintaining fluctuations around $103,000. From an overall perspective, the market is still in a phase of adjustment. On the daily chart, Bitcoin shows a stable horizontal trend, with both bulls and bears in a tug-of-war, and price fluctuations effectively controlled within a set range, indicating a temporary lack of clear directional guidance in the market. On the four-hour chart, Bitcoin's price has noticeably weakened, with a significant short-term downward trend. However, the support at the $102,500 level is strong, and even if it briefly breaks, the price is unlikely to form a deeper pullback; it is expected that the price will still operate within the range for the day. Notably, as the fluctuations continue, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, creating considerable space for short-term bullish and bearish operations. The hourly chart shows that Bitcoin previously formed a unidirectional downward structure, and after the rebound, the price returned to oscillate around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. Currently, bullish momentum is significantly lacking, and it will be quite challenging to fully recover the previous decline in the short term; it is anticipated that the price will gradually clarify its subsequent operating direction after horizontal consolidation.
==================================
💎
💎
==================================
From the four-hour chart of Ethereum, the price has faced strong resistance at the upper band after multiple upward tests, resulting in a pullback. The current key defensive level is around the high point of $2,720; if the price can effectively break this point, it is expected to open up upward space. Conversely, if it continues to face pressure without breaking through, the wide fluctuation pattern is likely to continue. The support at the lower boundary of the fluctuation range is around $2,400, and the market is currently in a back-and-forth tugging state, which requires a high degree of precision in identifying entry points, adhering to the principle of 'priority on the point, direction second.' Observing the moving average indicators, they currently show a chaotic and diverging state, further confirming the market's fluctuating characteristics. It is expected that in the remaining time of this week, it will be difficult for the market to form a unidirectional trend. In terms of operation, it is recommended to adopt a high-sell low-buy strategy, strictly timing entry points, focusing on accurately confirming the boundaries of the range, and seizing trading opportunities in the fluctuating market.