Based on the 4-hour chart for PEPE/USDT from Binance, here's a technical analysis:
Current Price Action
Current Price: 0.00001249 USDT
24h Change: -8.43%
24h High/Low: 0.00001377 / 0.00001212
Moving Averages (MA)
MA(7): 0.00001278 — Above current price, showing short-term bearish pressure.
MA(25): 0.00001350 — Price is also below this, confirming medium-term weakness.
MA(99): 0.00001102 — Still above this longer-term MA, suggesting long-term uptrend intact.
Trend and Structure
Recent Peak: 0.00001541 (strong spike on high volume).
After the peak, the price is in a retracement phase, forming lower highs and lower lows — a short-term downtrend.
Still significantly higher than the late March low (0.00000571), showing it has retained longer-term bullish structure.
Volume Analysis
Volume spiked strongly during the rally near 0.00001541.
Current volume is decreasing during the pullback, which is typical in a healthy retracement — a bullish signal if demand re-emerges.
Key Support Levels
0.00001163: Local support zone (May 11 wick support).
0.00001102: Long-term MA(99) support.
0.00000949 – 0.00000736: Stronger historical supports.
Resistance Levels
0.00001278: Immediate resistance (MA7).
0.00001350: Next resistance (MA25).
0.00001541: Local top; major resistance.
Indicators Not Shown But Suggested
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Likely cooling off — check if approaching 30–40 range for possible oversold conditions.
MACD: Look for bearish crossover or flattening for confirmation of pullback strength.
Outlook Summary
Short-term: Bearish retracement.
Medium-term: Caution advised; wait for signs of support at 0.00001163–0.00001102 and bullish reversal patterns.
Long-term: Still bullish if price holds above MA(99) and maintains higher lows.