$BTC Today's Pro Trading Plan: BTC/USD - May 17, 2025

1. Primary Bias & Setup:

Short bias intraday. Price consolidates below MA20 (103,442) after a rejection at 24h high (104,550.33), signaling bearish structure within the 102,612–104,550 range. Target downside liquidity below 24h low. Scalp-focused.

2. Entry Zone:

103,300–103,600 (supply zone: MA20 + prior high). Confluence: Bearish divergence on 4H RSI, weak bounce at EMA cluster (103,442–103,603).

3. Stop Loss Placement:

104,650 (above 24h high + swing structure break). Protects against false breakdown.

4. Risk/Reward Ratio:

1:3.5 (SL: 1,050 pts vs. TP1-T3: 3,700 pts).

5. Profit Targets:

• T1: 102,612 (24h low, partial exit).

• T2: 101,200 (Feb swing low + FVG fill).

• T3: 99,800 (liquidity pool below 100k psychological).

6. Market Sentiment:

Bearish divergence on volume decline (-31% vs. MA20). Weak bids near 103k; liquidation clusters at 102,500 (Coinalyze data).

7. Invalidation Plan & Contingency Setup:

If SL triggers, flip long above 104,650. Target 105,819 (HTF resistance) with SL at 103,900. R:R 1:2.

Execution-focused, adaptive to real-time breakdowns.