📌 Main Idea of the Report:
Gold is not just a protective asset but a strategic investment amid global economic and geopolitical instability.
🟡 Key Points:
1. Current Golden Bull Market:
We are in the middle phase of a secular bull market in gold — the so-called phase of broad participation.
Since the early 2020s, the price of gold has increased by 92% in US dollars, outpacing the dollar by almost 50%.
In 2024, gold set 43 new historical highs — a sign of trend strength.
2. "The Big Long" strategy:
The name refers to the movie The Big Short — gold now is a counterintuitive but strategically justified bet.
Divided into:
Safe-Haven #GOLD — gold as a protective asset.
Performance Gold — gold as a source of growth (including silver, mining stocks, commodities).
3. Response to geopolitical and economic instability:
The return of Donald Trump led to the "#TRUMP Shock" — a significant political and economic shift in the USA.
Tariffs are being introduced, trade policy is tightening, and distrust in the dollar is growing.
The USA may begin a path to "detox-recession" — a harsh cut in spending, which has historically been favorable for gold.
4. Central banks continue to accumulate gold:
Since 2022 — an increase in purchases following the confiscation of Russia's currency reserves.
In 2024, Poland became the largest buyer.
There is a shift in demand for physical gold (including from private investors and funds).
5. Threats to the dollar and the global financial system:
A scenario of a new 'Plaza Accord' — a conscious devaluation of the dollar is possible.
Escalation of the Triffin dilemma: the USA as the issuer of the reserve currency is losing industrial power.
Discussion is underway regarding the transition to neutral reserve assets such as gold and bitcoin.
6. Europe and Germany:
Germany, traditionally known for fiscal discipline, is moving away from the principles of austerity.
This undermines trust in German bonds and strengthens the position of gold.
📊 Investment Recommendations:
The new portfolio structure (“New 60/40”) includes:
45% stocks
15% bonds
15% safe gold
10% “performance” gold (silver, mining stocks)
10% commodities
5% #bitcoin
📉 Conclusions:
Gold — the best asset of the current decade due to:
-Loss of trust in government bonds
-Rise of global uncertainty
-Political shift in the USA and Europe
Continued growth is expected — the current rally has not yet reached the euphoria phase.
#BinanceAlphaAlert #CryptoRegulation