$BTC

Bitcoin breaks through $100,000, and the key support level for technical pullback needs to be analyzed across multiple time frames:

Core Support Range

1. $101,851 - $102,850: A strong short-term support zone on the daily level, including $101,851 (the pullback point before breaking the previous high) and $102,850 (the Fibonacci 50% retracement level), this area is a watershed for bulls and bears.

2. $100,000 - $100,800: Psychological barrier and trendline support, if broken, may trigger panic selling; need to pay attention to the historical dense trading area at $95,000.

3. $96,500 - $98,800: Strong medium-term support, corresponding to the 38.2%-50% Fibonacci retracement of the March upward wave; if lost, it may indicate a trend reversal.

Technical Indicator Signals

- MACD: The hourly chart shows a top divergence; if it continues to decline, it may test the $100,000 support.

- RSI: Current 47.3 (neutral area); if it falls below 40, it will enter the oversold range, possibly triggering a rebound.

- Volume: Dropped to $43 billion in 24 hours (below the peak of $63.2 billion), indicating weakened short-term momentum.

Operational Strategy Reference

- Long: Gradually build positions below $101,000, with a stop loss set at $99,500.

- Short: If pressured above $104,500, consider shorting, with a target of $102,000.

- Dollar-Cost Averaging: Buy in stages within the $97,000 - $102,000 range to hedge against volatility risk.

The current market is at a critical decision point; if it effectively holds above $101,851, it is expected to challenge $110,000; otherwise, it may pull back to $95,000. It is recommended to combine derivatives hedging (such as buying put options) to manage short-term volatility risk.