$BTC

📊] MARKET OVERVIEW:

• #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 is consolidating at the 2,580 area after a strong surge to the 2,640 zone.

• $BTC [🧊] has still not escaped the sideways range of 102,000–104,000, showing slight weakness on the H1–H4 frames.

• RSI across the H1–4H–1D frames [⚖️] has exited the overbought territory, indicating that the market is taking a breather after a hot rally.

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1. [🟢 POSITIVE SCENARIO – PROBABILITY ~30%]

ETH rebounds from EMA34 (~2,475)

✅ RSI stabilizes above 50

✅ BTC maintains price above 102,000

→ ETH could retest the 2,620–2,640 area [🚀]

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2. [⏸️ SIDEWAYS SCENARIO – PROBABILITY ~50%]

ETH fluctuates within the range of 2,475 – 2,600

⏳ RSI remains flat, buying pressure weakens

⏳ BTC lacks clear catalysts

→ Accumulation sideways before a new wave [📉📈]

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3. [🔻 NEGATIVE SCENARIO – PROBABILITY ~20%]

ETH breaks below the EMA34 → down to the 2,420–2,360 area or lower

⚠ BTC breakdown below 102,000

⚠ Selling volume increases, RSI plummets across the frame

→ A true “shakeout” phase [💀]

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[🧭] STRATEGIC PRICE ZONE:

• Strong support [🟢]:

  - 2,475 (EMA34 4H)

  - 2,360 – 2,420 (Fibo + EMA89)

• Resistance [🔴]:

  - 2,600 – 2,640 (Fibo 0.786 + nearest strong selling zone)

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[💡] SHORT SUMMARY:

• BTC is stagnant, ETH is affected accordingly [🧊].

• Short-term volatility is technical shaking, not yet confirming a reversal [⚠️].

• Scenario 2 (sideways) currently has the highest probability [⏸️], need to closely monitor price reaction around 2,475.