Analyze SOL
In May, SOL attracted investor attention with strong trading volumes, and the market's expectations for its monthly closing price showed a tug-of-war pattern between bulls and bears.
$190 has become the mainstream expectation: There is a 71% probability betting that the closing price will be close to $190, supported by over $310,000 in trading volume.
Significant bull-bear divergence: The expectation for $210 has a probability of 34% (trading volume of $187,000), reflecting some optimistic sentiment; however, the hedging bets for $140 have reached $364,000 (probability of 18%), indicating market concerns over correction risks. At extreme price levels, $250 (7%) and $300 (1%) have low probabilities, but the trading volumes are considerable, implying speculation or diversified betting intentions.
Technical indicators are signaling short-term caution: Currently, SOL is priced at $179.64 (with a 24-hour increase of over 3%), and while the MACD remains positive, historical patterns often accompany corrections. The $184 resistance level and the $178/$173.90 support levels form a short-term trading range.
Amidst the interplay of market sentiment and technical indicators, whether SOL can break through resistance and continue its upward trend will depend on observing the bull-bear capital dynamics and the digestion of overbought signals.