Trump has once again made an announcement, and as always, the market rises after the announcement. The world laughs at Trump's madness, but he laughs at the world for not seeing through it. Since becoming president, the speed of making money has increased. After this announcement, will it be favorable news that ultimately lets retail investors take over, or will it signal the start of another wave of price increases?
Complete record of Trump's announcements in the past six months.
January 18: Issued meme coin TRUMP two days before the inauguration, with a single-day market value surge of 45,000%; the family wallet's holdings exceeded $18 million.
March 3: Announced the inclusion of XRP, SOL, and ADA in the 'national crypto asset basket', with the three major cryptocurrencies surging 14%, 11%, and 44% respectively, while Bitcoin broke $90,000.
April 9: After pausing tariffs, announced 'now is the best time to buy U.S. stocks', and the S&P 500 index rebounded 14% within 21 days, while the Nasdaq 100 index entered a technical bull market.
May 8: Reiterated 'the market will rise much higher' when pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, with chip stocks surging over 5% in a single day.
In the early morning of May 14: Published a statement saying 'the stock market will rise significantly.' On that day, the Nasdaq closed up 1.6%.
It can be seen that Trump's announcement success rate in the past six months is 100%. However, on January 21, during the inauguration ceremony, he did not mention cryptocurrency policy, and the price of $TRUMP dropped to $38, subsequently continuing to fall. The market is greatly influenced by Trump.
Currently, there is a pattern in the announcements: each announcement presents a 'three-stage operation': social media preheating → policy ambiguity release → capital leverage for a price increase.
The president's trading 'toolbox'
The core policy levers currently available to Trump include:
Tariff exemption rights: By deferring or adjusting tariffs on China (such as reducing the 125% reciprocal tariff to 34% in May), directly stimulating market risk appetite.
Control over crypto legislation: Suspending the SEC lawsuits against Ripple and Coinbase, promoting Bitcoin strategic reserve legislation, clearing obstacles for institutional entry.
Pressure on the Federal Reserve: Using inflation data (such as April's CPI year-on-year at 2.3%) to demand interest rate cuts, creating expectations of liquidity easing.
Family project collaboration: Through WLFI token swaps and exposure of Trump coin holdings, forming a 'policy-market-benefit' closed loop.
Social media public opinion: Trump's Truth Social account has become a 'market barometer'. Each of his tweets can trigger significant fluctuations in cryptocurrencies or stocks.
The combination of these tools has transformed the state machinery into a 'market value management tool'.
Does Trump face legal risks?
It must be said that Trump's announcement behavior walks the legal line.
Suspicion of insider trading: Family project WLFI transferred assets and engaged in token swaps before announcements, suspected of profiting from non-public information, but presidential immunity may exempt him from accountability.
Market manipulation controversy: The SEC has launched an investigation into the WLFI project, but its official website clearly states 'tokens are not investment products' and sets up a collective lawsuit exemption, creating a legal firewall.
Accusations of rent-seeking: Issuing meme coins for profit, criticized for 'directly monetizing the presidential position', but the Justice Department has not yet initiated criminal proceedings.
Currently, the 12 states controlled by the Democratic Party have jointly filed a lawsuit, and the scope of the investigation may expand through congressional hearings in the future.
Current biggest beneficiaries:
Trump family: Through token issuance, cashing out holdings, and policy arbitrage, assets skyrocketed from $6.7 billion to a theoretical value of $51 billion.
Institutional players: Grayscale and MicroStrategy utilize volatility for low buying and high selling; JPMorgan predicts that the XRP ETF will attract $6 billion in funds.
Market makers and early investors: 'Presidential concept coins' like Solana and ADA have increased over 300% this year, far exceeding Bitcoin's 70% increase.
How to respond
As ordinary investors, we can certainly refer to Trump's positive news, but more importantly, we need to have our own judgment about the overall trend, DYOR; ChainThink currently believes that a bull market is starting, so it is reasonable to go long accordingly. Whether or not one can profit ultimately depends on whether they can exit before the feast ends.