Current price: $0.2627 (+2.62%)
24h volatility: Lowest $0.2532 – Highest $0.2669
Multi-timeframe technical analysis
1. Daily – Long-term uptrend but overbought
• EMA: 7 > 25 > 99, confirming a clear upward trend
• RSI(6): 74.10 – Clear overbought signal
• MACD: Still positive, but the histogram is weakening
• Volume: 15.2M < MA5 (216M) – Lacking upward momentum
→ Analysis: Deep corrections may occur before continuing to rise
2. 4H – Accumulating upward, strong resistance above
• EMA: 7 > 25 > 99 – Upward structure remains intact
• RSI: 56.68 – Neutral
• MACD: Slightly negative, signaling bearish divergence
• Important resistance zone:
• Resistance: $0.2750
• Support: $0.2420
→ Analysis: Accumulating, need to breakout $0.275 to initiate a new wave
3. 1H – Descending wedge pattern, price is sideways
• RSI: 51.49 – Neutral
• MACD: Slightly positive, unclear trend
• Technical pattern: Descending wedge – potential breakout
→ Analysis: Need to monitor a clear breakout above $0.2635
4. 15 minutes – Short-term technical reaction
• RSI: 46.89 – Just escaped the oversold zone
• MACD: Preparing to cross up
• Volume: Still low
→ Analysis: May retest the range $0.2633–0.2666 before choosing a clear direction
Optimal trading strategy
A. Swing Trade (priority)
Position: SELL (Short)
• Entry: $0.2680 – $0.2720 (near Daily + 4H resistance)
• Confirmation: There is a rejection candle (pinbar, doji) + Daily RSI > 70
• Stop-loss: $0.2760
• Take-profit: TP1: $0.2500, TP2: $0.2350
• Risk-Reward: Max 1:4.6
B. Scalp Trade (short-term)
1. Buy: Condition is to break $0.2635 with increasing volume, TP $0.2666, SL $0.2605
2. Short Selling (Sell): Condition is price rejected at $0.2635 + 1H RSI < 50, TP $0.2560, SL $0.2655
Risk management & supporting factors
• Capital per order ratio: No more than 2% of the account
• Preferred timing: European session (14h–18h UTC)
• Monitor BTC: If BTC > $67,000 → Reduce short position
• News: Update on SEI events (mainnet, new partners...)
Probability & risk forecast
Swing Sell strategy has a win probability of 68–72% with medium risk.
Scalp Buy strategy has a win probability of 55–60% with low risk.
Scalp Sell strategy has a win probability of 62–65% with low risk.
Important note: Prefer using limit orders instead of market orders, especially in shorter time frames to avoid slippage and large spreads.
Trade SEI contracts now:
