🧠 $AAVE /USDT – Hybrid analysis (05/13/2025)

Double operational entry: Scalp + Swing

🔍 Technique and structure

On the daily frame, AAVE broke bearish structure with a strong BOS over $200 and recovered all EMAs (20/50/100/200).

In 1H and 30min maintains a clean sequence of HH and HL. MTF MACD bullish in expansion, still without clear exhaustion signals.

💧 Volume and dynamics

Increasing volume during impulses. 5m MACD indicates bullish consolidation.

Strong absorption in the $230–$232 area. Pullbacks with low bearish volume.

🗺️ Liquidation map (#Coinglass )

Liquidity swept up to $238 → no immediate pressure above.

Active clusters between $226–$220 → ideal entry zone if there is a pullback.

Nothing critical below $210 → low risk of deep dump.

🧱 Fundamentals and context

TVL: $24B | Market Cap: $3.57B → solid MCap/TVL ratio = 0.14

Fully circulating supply (15.1M/16M)

Leading project in DeFi lending, with institutional adoption and high liquidity ($360M/day)

🎯

💥 Scalp: $232–$234

⏳ Swing limit: $228

❌ Global SL: $218 (awareness that opening is coming)

🎯 TP1: $244 | TP2: $262 | TP3: $288

📈 Estimated R/B: 2.8:1

🧠 We operate in a major bullish trend, entry justified by both structure and volume and fundamentals. Ideal for combining active management with partial TPs.