Actually, it's not that you can't short, but if it breaks through 3050-3100, you must exit regardless. If this round replicates the previous peak of 4107, then it's correct to short now. At worst, you can add to your position again at 3050-3100, whether it's this month or next month. If it breaks below 2750, you must exit. It's possible that it won't replicate the previous round; it might consolidate instead, using sideways movement to replace a drop, and then continue to rise. That would be a different scenario altogether. Just look at 5678$ETH