Everyone’s comparing this $BTC cycle to 2020–2021… but I think the 2016–2017 cycle is a much better match.

Here’s why:

1. The charts are strikingly similar.

Price structure, consolidation patterns, and early-stage breakout behavior all resemble the pre-parabolic phase we saw in 2017 — not the post-COVID stimulus-driven rally of 2020.

2. Political déjà vu:

Trump was president then. He’s leading again now. Whether you support him or not, market narratives often rhyme with political cycles.

3. QE isn’t coming from the Fed — it’s coming from China.

Back in 2016–17, the Federal Reserve wasn’t printing aggressively, but China was injecting liquidity. We’re seeing that again today — and that liquidity always finds risk assets like crypto.

4. Timing lines up too.

In 2017, BTC’s real momentum kicked in around April — and we’re seeing eerily similar price action this April. It’s as if the cycle is syncing again, but under a different macro narrative.

If history is rhyming — not repeating — then 2025 could be our “late 2017” moment.

I’m not predicting — I’m observing. And what I see feels more like 2016–17 than any other time.