$TURBO Low-Risk Core Principles of 6-Year Contract Trading
Three Major Truths that Disrupt Conventional Thinking
1. Leverage ≠ Risk, Position Size is Key
- 100x leverage + 1% position size ≈ 1% risk of spot trading
- Formula: Real Risk = Leverage × Position Size
2. Stop Loss ≠ Loss, but Insurance
- In the 312 crash, 78% of liquidated traders lost more than 5% yet did not stop loss
- Iron Rule: Single loss ≤ 2% of principal
3. Rolling Positions ≠ All-In, Compounding Must Be Scientific
- Laddering: Initial position 10%, gradually increase after profit
- Example: 50,000 principal, initial position 5,000 (10x leverage), add 500 for every 10% profit
Institutional-Level Risk Control Strategies
✅ Dynamic Position Formula
- Maximum Position = (Principal × 2%) / (Stop Loss Margin × Leverage)
✅ Three-Stage Take-Profit Method
- ① Take 1/3 profit at 20%
- ② Take another 1/3 profit at 50%
- ③ Move stop loss for remaining position (exit below 5-day line)
✅ Hedge Insurance
- Buy Put options with 1% of principal while holding positions, can hedge 80% of extreme risk
Deadly Traps (Data Evidence)
❌ Holding a Position for 4 Hours → 92% liquidation probability
❌ High-Frequency Trading (500 trades a month) → 24% principal loss
❌ Greed Without Taking Profit → 83% of profits given back
Essence of Trading: A Mathematical Game
📊 Profit Formula
- Expected Value = (Win Rate × Average Profit) - (Loss Rate × Average Loss)
- Example: 2% stop loss + 20% take profit, only need a 34% win rate to be profitable
Ultimate Rules
🔹 Single Loss ≤ 2%
🔹 Annual Trades ≤ 20
🔹 Profit-Loss Ratio ≥ 3:1
🔹 70% of the Time in Cash Waiting
The market is a probability game; replace emotion with discipline, and profits will naturally grow! 🚀