Solana price is at a crossroads as its value falls below $172 against the backdrop of surging whale activity and conflicting signals from top technical indicators.
Though rising wallet addresses suggest increased user adoption, a crypto whale's enormous short position is piling pressure downward—leaving one wondering why Solana is falling today.
In this article, we’ll explore the latest price action, wallet data, whale moves, and technical charts to predict whether the $SOL price is headed for a bounce—or a bigger crash.
Solana Price $SOL Drops to $172 — Major Move Ahead
It has once again caught the crypto market's attention with a sharp mix of bullish activity and bearish pressure. At this moment, the token is valued at $171.69 with a small decrease of 1.62% in the past 24 hours.
But underneath this small dip is a war between the increasing adoption, whale manipulation or selling, and a whole lot of technical levels.
Price Drops, But Trading Volume Surges
The daily chart for this crypto illustrates a volatile day for prices that swung from a high of $179.11 down to a low of $166. While there was a red candle, we note that trading volume is up more than 30% to $5.79 billion, which tells us that the market is still trading this coin.
Market Cap: $89.18 Billion
Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): $103.12 Billion
This shows that while the price has dipped, the interest in this coin remains strong.
Wallet Activity Hits Record High
According to Glassnode, the number of wallets holding at least 0.1 SOL has jumped to 11.04 million—a new all-time high. This data, shared by popular crypto analyst Ali Charts on X, shows that this token is seeing growing adoption, possibly due to its DeFi platforms, NFT growth, or staking rewards.
Source: Ali Charts
More wallets usually mean more users—and more users lead to stronger fundamentals in the long term.
Whale Short Bet Reveals Why Solana Is Falling Today
However, not everyone is bullish. Blockchain tracking platform Lookonchain reported that a crypto whale deposited $50.5 million USDC into Hyperliquid and used 5x leverage to short BTC, ETH, and SOL.
Source: Lookonchain X
As a result, the whale currently holds an unrealized profit of $3.5 million—a clear sign that these short bets have worked so far. This bearish position likely contributed to its recent drop.
If larger investors decide to close their short, a short squeeze could trigger a price bounce for Solana. Now let’s check $SOL price outlook and technical indicators
Technical Analysis: MACD Turns Bullish
From the TradingView charts, its MACD indicator has turned bullish, with the blue MACD line crossing above the orange signal line. This usually points to positive momentum building up.
Source: TradingView
However, volume remains moderate at 320K, meaning the momentum is still waiting for confirmation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $165 — if this level breaks down further then, Solana price could easily test $150-140
Resistance: $180 — if Solana price breaks up from here, it is a strong bullish sign and opens the gates towards $200
Solana Price Prediction : Bounce or Crash?
If volume rises and MACD holds bullish, it may bounce toward $180–$200 in the short term.
If the price falls below $165 with strong volume, a deeper drop to $130–$140 is likely.
Conclusion
Solana price is currently at a make-or-break moment. Strong wallet growth and bullish MACD point to a potential rebound, but whale shorting and low volume keep the downside risk alive.
Traders should watch the $165–$180 range closely—because its next big move could be just around the corner.
