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BTC/USDT 4-Hour Trend Analysis: High Resistance and Pullback, Focus on Key Support

🔹 Overall Trend

BTC encountered strong resistance around $105,000 and saw a significant pullback, currently oscillating around $101,936. After a strong rally, the pullback indicates short-term profit-taking and selling pressure in the market.

🔹 Moving Average System

Short-term Moving Average (10 days): Turning down, forming resistance around $102,000, with short-term momentum weakening.

Mid-term Moving Average (30 days): Still trending upward, but the upward momentum is slowing.

Long-term Moving Average (60 days): Maintaining an upward trend, but if the short-term pullback continues, it may affect the mid-term trend.

📌 Conclusion: Short-term bearish; if the price cannot hold above $102,000, it may further decline.

🔹 Structural Analysis

Pattern Analysis:

A double top structure formed around $105,000, quickly retreating after failing to break through the new high, increasing short-term bearish sentiment.

If it breaks below $100,000, it may revisit the $97,500 or $95,000 region.

Support and Resistance:

Support Level: $100,000 (psychological level), $97,500 (previous consolidation area), $95,000 (strong support).

Resistance Level: $103,500 (short-term resistance), $105,000 (previous high).

🔹 Volume-Price Relationship Analysis

Increased volume during the pullback indicates significant selling pressure.

If there is a subsequent rebound with decreased volume, it suggests insufficient buying strength, indicating a weak rebound.

Only with increased volume above $103,500 can bulls regain market dominance.

🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index) Analysis

Current RSI(14) is 47.67, having fallen below the 50 midline, indicating a weak market.

If it continues to approach 40, it will enter the oversold zone, potentially leading to further declines in the short term.

A rebound requires regaining above 50 to alleviate bearish pressure.

🔹 Summary

📉 Market Trend: Short-term bearish, focus on whether the $100,000 support can hold.

📊 Key Support: $100,000 (psychological level), $97,500 (secondary support), $95,000 (stronger support).

📈 Key Resistance: $103,500 (short-term resistance), $105,000 (previous high).

🎯 Strategy Suggestions:

✅ Pay attention to the support situation at $100,000 in the short term; if it breaks, be cautious of further declines.

✅ If the rebound holds above $103,500, bulls may regain dominance.

✅ Monitor RSI and trading volume for reversal signals.

Overall, BTC is in a high-level pullback phase; it is more prudent to wait for stabilization signals.