The market psychology changes really fast, just a small wave can erase all previous fears, activating extreme greed :>
Agreed that there will be no certainties. And no one can convincingly prove everyone about the market view.
For me, it's simply: To increase, there must be accumulation. And currently, from Onchain to technical analysis, I have not seen enough buying force to create a strong upward wave.
Upcoming scenario: $BTC breaks the peak, sweeping short liquidity, and triggering maximum pain FOMO. Ah, BTC has broken the peak, #Altseason is here.
$ETH pushes up to around ~$3k. Luring more liquidity for alts.
* In this uptrend, I still have holdings from last year. My decision is to sell everything. I have already sold, only about 50% of my holdings left. This month I will sell all. Accepting a slight loss, breaking even. Waiting for the price to stabilize before accumulating again for the new season.