🪙---[BTC Technical Indicator Analysis]---🪙
If you're too lazy to read the lengthy discussion, just skip to the last sentence.
1. Key Price Action Observation
1. Resistance Zone:
- Current Key Resistance: $105,500 - $105,800 range
- Breakout Confirmation Criteria: Must close above $105,800 for 4 consecutive hours
- Potential Target: First look at the psychological level of $110,000 after a breakout.
2. Wave Structure Analysis:
- Suspected completion of a 5-wave upward structure (current high of $105,800)
- Expected to enter ABC corrective wave pattern
- Key Support Observation Area: $102,300 - $103,500 range (Fibonacci 38.2%-50% retracement)
2. Technical Indicator Signals
1. Daily Level:
- A typical shooting star candlestick pattern has appeared (upper shadow > body 2 times)
- MACD histogram shows signs of a top divergence (^^^ shape) $BTC
- RSI(14) is flat in the overbought area
2. Momentum Indicators:
- Decreasing volume in the 4-hour chart
- OBV indicator shows price-volume divergence
3. Long-Short Game Factors
Bullish Factors:
- Market risk appetite is warming up
- Marginal improvement in regulatory policies
Potential Risks:
- Volatility triggered by statements (the uncertainty of “Dear” Mr. Trump’s nonsense)
- Profit-taking pressure after concentrated bullish releases
Overall, the current peak of the 5th wave is at $105,800. The depth of the upcoming ABC wave is uncertain. If it breaks above $105,800 again, look to $110,000. If it does not break $105,800, I hope my brothers do not take aggressive positions and wait for changes! If you have opened positions, be sure to set your stop-loss! Holding positions will affect your mood. Do not chase highs and sell lows; hanging on a tree is even worse. Recently, there have been too many bullish news releases, and I believe our “dear” Mr. Trump definitely has another set of tricks that no one knows about. I am very happy to see my brothers making money. I also feel for my brothers who are struggling with holding positions. Best wishes!