#TradeWarEases #SaylorBTCPurchase
Is Bitcoin About to Crash? My Honest Take – May 12, 2025
The crypto community has been buzzing with one big question: Is Bitcoin about to crash?
Here’s my no-fluff, data-backed analysis to help you stay grounded.
Monthly Outlook: The Bigger Picture Remains Bullish
Despite the volatility, the broader trend remains upward.
I still believe Bitcoin has a higher probability of breaking above $109.9K than revisiting the previous low of $74.3K.
Why?
Because in trading, zooming out filters out short-term noise. The monthly structure remains intact and bullish.
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Weekly Outlook: Buyers Still in Control
Take a look at the weekly chart. The uptrend is still clean.
And the latest weekly candle closed strong and bullish—a clear sign that buyers are driving the market.
There’s no valid reversal signal yet.
I’m personally holding my BTC, keeping an eye out for a healthy pullback before re-entering further.
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Market Structure: Still Clean, Still Bullish
Worried about a potential triple top? Let’s break it down:
No aggressive bearish rejection at the third peak.
Candles are closing bullish, not weak.
The key neckline at $91K is still holding.
Bottom line?
Structure is bullish. Momentum is intact.
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Daily Outlook: Key Levels in Focus
The $106K–$109K zone is critical right now.
Here’s how I’m currently positioned:
Entry: $98K
Partial profit: $104K
Still holding the rest—waiting for a confirmed breakout before adding.
Until Bitcoin cleanly breaks above resistance, I’ll wait patiently and manage risk.
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What I’m Waiting For: Breakout Confirmation
If Bitcoin gives us a strong daily or 4H close above $110.5K, I’ll add to my position using limit orders just above the breakout.
No confirmation = no rush.
Discipline is key.
There are no valid reversal signals yet.
I’m holding, managing risk, and waiting for confirmation above $110.5K.
Let’s stay sharp, stay informed, and trade with clarity.
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