The market is up 30–50% depending on the altcoin. But is this a real wave? Or just a reflex bounce?

When others see "opportunity", I am still waiting for "confirmation".

The market is buzzing.

Altcoins are all rising strongly.

Twitter, Telegram, and even YouTube are overflowing with positive emotions.

But for me, that is not enough.

I do not deny that the market is green.

Is green enough to be called a trend?

Strong recovery, but no solid upward structure yet.

Currently, the altcoin has recovered by 30–50%.

But when looking at the Total (total market capitalization) chart on D1, I do not yet see:

- Peak – higher lows.

- Break the previous downward structure.

→ Meaning: no clear setup to confirm a major wave yet.

I lean more towards technical analysis than emotions, so I don't want to buy more just yet.

Current assets: I have holdings from before like $SUI and $PEPE that are profitable, while other altcoins are still slightly in loss.

But the remaining stablecoin – I'm keeping to wait for the right moment.

WHY IS IT THE 61.59% BTC DOMINANCE MARK?

This is not a random number.

61.59% is an important threshold, because if BTC dominance drops below this level, then:

The MACD peak divergence on D1 and W1 will be confirmed.

→ Leading to the trend of BTC giving market share back to altcoins.

→ Altcoin will have a strong upward wave – systemic in nature.

Currently, BTC dominance has broken the upward trendline, but has not broken the 61.59% mark.

Therefore, I assess it positively, but not strong enough to go all-in more.

CYCLE VIEWPOINT – If you believe in the 4-year logic.

If you believe in Bitcoin's 4-year cycle,

→ This means the 10/2025 mark (78 weeks after the Halving in April 2024).

→ This will be the peak of the current cycle.

Therefore, even if you FOMO a little now,

→ If the cycle scenario is correct, this is still an acceptable buying point.

But...

WHAT AM I PERSONALLY DOING?

I do not chase emotions.

✅ Continue holding the altcoins you already have.

✅ Wait for clear confirmation at Total D1 (higher highs and higher lows).

✅ Observe BTC Dominance breaking the 61.59% mark.

When these two factors are met → I will scale in strongly with the remaining stablecoin.

Currently, I stand between the words: Patience & Discipline.

AND WHAT ABOUT YOU?

How much of your capital have you deployed?

Do you follow technical systems or market emotions?

Which level is the confirmation signal for you to enter stronger?

Share your perspective below, as conversations like this help us understand deeper together – and avoid unnecessary FOMO.

If you find the post useful, save it to follow the market as it approaches the 61.59% mark, or share it with a friend who is unsure whether to enter or stay outside.

Because investing is not a speed race, but a game of making the right decisions at the right time.