【The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 82.7%】 According to the Financial Associated Press on May 12, based on CME's 'Fed Watch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 82.7%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 17.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 40.8%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 50.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 8.7%.