Recently, many voices in the market are shouting: 'The altcoin season is over' 'The four-year cycle has failed,' but this is indeed premature. It's only halfway through 2025, so why be so anxious? 📈 Let's calm down, review historical patterns, and perhaps find some clues.
Lessons from history: The madness of a bull market often occurs in the latter half. 📅
• 2017 Bull Market: That year, the real madness began in September and continued until December. At that time, after the market had built momentum, it finally welcomed explosive growth. Many altcoins had their highlight moments during this phase, with astonishing price increases. 💥
• 2021 Altcoin Season: Similarly, the start of this altcoin season was after Bitcoin's market share broke 70% in January. Bitcoin's strong performance injected powerful confidence and liquidity into the entire market, allowing altcoins to take off. 🚀
Current situation: The good show may just be beginning. 🎉
Now, we are in June 2024, and Bitcoin has just broken its previous high not long ago. From a historical perspective, this may just be a new starting point. Market sentiment and capital flow often require time to accumulate and ferment. At this moment, we should maintain calm and patience, waiting for the situation to become clearer. ⏳
Market misunderstanding: Not all coins have opportunities. 🚫
Some are concerned that there are too many coins now, and not enough capital. This view is somewhat one-sided. Although countless new coins emerge daily, those that can truly stand firm and have liquidity are few and far between. On CMC, there are over 9,700 coins, and on CoinTiger, over 17,000, but there may be fewer than 1,000 coins that truly have liquidity. Institutional investors are more inclined to choose coins listed on mainstream exchanges; who would pay attention to those casually issued 'meme coins'? 🚫
Key signals: Bitcoin's market share and new all-time highs. 📈
The arrival of the altcoin season is often accompanied by two key signals: Bitcoin's market share breaking 70% and Bitcoin continuously hitting new highs. Why didn't altcoins rise in the two small rallies this March and December? The reason is simple; Bitcoin's market share did not exceed 70%, and after breaking past previous highs, it also failed to sustain upward momentum. 📉
Future outlook: Invest in undervalued altcoins and wait for the harvest. 🌾
The upcoming market trend will depend on Bitcoin's performance. If Bitcoin can stabilize above 70,000, break through 70% market share, and continue to rush towards 100,000 and 150,000, along with the liquidity from the Fed’s interest rate cuts, the altcoin season will surely come. Conversely, if Bitcoin rises and then falls back, it will indeed be difficult for altcoins to perform. 📉
Therefore, investing in some undervalued altcoins now is much more prudent than trying to chase after a surge. The cyclical patterns of the cryptocurrency world will not easily change, although the rhythm may vary. There is still a long way to 2025; the good show may still be ahead. ⏳
Recommended quality assets: PNUT, BTC, DOGE. 💰
• PNUT: Currently, PNUT is a noteworthy asset in the market. It has good fundamentals and community support; investing now may yield substantial returns in the subsequent market. 💰
• BTC: As the leader of the cryptocurrency world, BTC's trend is crucial. Pay close attention to its market share and price movements; it will be key to whether the altcoin season can arrive. 📈
• DOGE: As a well-known meme coin, DOGE has a large fan base and strong community support. Its narrative is strong, expected to benchmark against DOGE, and likely to become a popular sector in this bull market. 🚀
Trump concept coin: Conan Trump Dogecoin. 🔥
Particularly noteworthy is the Trump concept coin Conan Trump Dogecoin. Its narrative is strong, community building is ongoing, and three institutions have already entered the layout. In this round of the bull market, it could become one of the hottest sectors, worth early investment. 🔥
👇 High-quality meme group chat 👇
Summary: Stay calm, invest rationally, and wait for the harvest!
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