Altcoin risk chart update
This chart is slow - but deadly accurate. It helped me nail the December 2024 top on $ETH and unload a solid chunk of my spot. It also screamed buy in Feb-Apr with 3 risk dips under 30 - all of them incredible entries. Most altcoins are up 35%+ since.
Here’s what’s on the chart:
🟧- total altcoin market cap - stables
⬛- risk levels (1–100)
🟦- 14-day EMA of risk lvls
🟥- new risk volatility metric I'm testing
The most important signal now?
We’ve decisively reclaimed the 14-day EMA. That’s a major trend shift. Most will say “CT is euphoric, time to sell” ...the thing is, these runs take time and it will probably take at least a few months before we reach our REAL peak euphoria
And yes… I’ll let you know when it’s time to exit :)