[Binance Research] Bitcoin Forecast until the end of May 2025: Can BTC hold above $100,000?
Overview
Bitcoin (BTC) in April 2025 surpassed the historic psychological barrier of $100,000 and continues to show stable dynamics amid overall improved sentiment in the crypto market. According to Binance, at the time of publication, BTC is trading around $104,000, with increasing trading volumes and interest from institutional investors.
Key factors shaping the trend:
Macroeconomic support: Expectations for easing monetary policy in the US and Europe contribute to increased interest in digital assets as an alternative to traditional investments.
Halving effect: The April reduction of the block reward to 3.125 BTC affected supply, while demand continues to grow, especially from ETFs and funds.
On-chain indicators: Data from Glassnode and CryptoQuant indicate a reduction in BTC reserves on exchanges, which often precedes liquidity shortages and price increases.
Institutional activity: According to Binance Institutional, the second quarter of 2025 has seen an increase in the number of large OTC transactions and interest in BTC derivatives.
Technical analysis (according to Binance Charts)
Key support: $100,000
Nearest resistance: $110,000
RSI remains in a moderate zone (55–60), indicating possible continuation of the upward movement without signs of overbought conditions.
Forecast for May 2025
The most likely scenario suggests movement in the range of $102,000–$110,000, assuming macro stability. A potential breakout above $110,000 could open the way to zones of $115,000–$120,000. A corrective scenario with a pullback to $95,000 is considered unlikely given the current demand.
Conclusion
Against a backdrop of fundamental and technical factors, BTC maintains a bullish outlook. Strong institutional interest and reduced supply following the halving create conditions for continued growth. However, investors should consider overall macroeconomic risks and not rule out short-term corrections.$BTC #BTCBackto100K #PectraUpgrade