#BTC重返10万
Bitcoin Market Trend Prediction for May 10, 2025
1. Current Price and Market Performance
Price: The current price of Bitcoin is $103,000, with a high of $103,756.
Market Capitalization: Bitcoin's market capitalization has reached $2.044 trillion, surpassing Amazon to become the fifth main asset globally.
Futures Market: CME Bitcoin futures have risen a total of 6.29%, closing at $104,000 on Friday.
2. Technical Analysis
Daily K-line: The highest price reached $104,400, with the EMA trend indicator showing an upward trend, and MACD continuously increasing, with DIF and DEA expanding upward at a high level.
Four-hour K-line: An ascending triangle pattern has formed, with a doji appearing, signaling a potential reversal. The EMA trend indicator is expanding upward, and MACD's continuous volume increase is beginning to taper.
3. Market Volatility and Risks
Liquidation Data: In the past 24 hours, nearly 200,000 people were liquidated due to severe price fluctuations, with a total liquidation amount reaching $968 million.
Key Support and Resistance Levels: Psychological barrier at $100,000 and a short-term high point at $103,500, be cautious of market reversals.
4. Influencing Factors
Institutional Entry: Institutions like BlackRock are accelerating Bitcoin's move to mainstream through Bitcoin ETFs.
Macroeconomic Environment: The Federal Reserve has maintained interest rates, and a trade agreement between the U.S. and U.K. has eased market concerns about global trade.
5. Future Outlook
Short-term: Be wary of retracement risks, closely monitor changes in trading volume, and avoid blindly chasing highs.
Long-term: The outlook is promising, as institutional entry and regulatory trends will continue to support Bitcoin's value.
6. Operational Strategies
Breakout Buying Strategy: Prices stabilize above $2,300, with a trading volume increase of over 20% confirming a valid breakout.
High-position Adjustment Strategy: Enter after prices stabilize in the $2,200-$2,250 range, targeting a rebound to $2,400.
Swing Trading Strategy: At the current price level, reduce positions by 20% to lock in profits, and buy back when prices retract to the $2,100-$2,200 range.
Through the above analysis, it can be seen that Bitcoin faces certain retracement risks on May 10, 2025, but also has significant upside potential. Investors should maintain a cautiously optimistic attitude and reasonably allocate assets to cope with possible market fluctuations.
