Timechain Coder
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My private message to Loni Autullo - Others may ignore it...
@Loni Autullo DvXl for you 🤝
I stopped writing on social media for 3 weeks. You were the first and only one to write in this period. For this reason, as I promised, I am sharing the up-to-date analysis of $INJ and $LINK with you.
If I hadn't received your message, I had no intention of making a new post. I don't know if I'll continue writing in the future, to be honest. 🙄 I will write a few things about why I stopped writing at the end of this post.
First of all, I looked at some of the analyses I have made since my last post, and I saw that the analyses are still valid and continue in line with the scenarios I explained, since what I said daily and in the longer term is not something that quickly loses its relevance. For this reason, past posts can still be used for a while.
👉 $INJ
I drew the market structure and added a simple downtrend resistance. As you can see from the market structure, unless 11.12 (updated as the chart progresses) is broken and a new HH is made, the daily trend will continue to fall. If the green box support does not hold, it is possible to see prices of $4 and $3.
After a fall to support or slightly above, a correction rise (pullback) may be seen like the previous ones. In this case, this intermediate zone can be traded by considering the warning I made about 11.12, without forgetting that it is still in a downtrend.
The price can rise to the resistance line or fill the imbalance above with a quick wick and then continue to fall. The reaction rise should not be perceived as a trend reversal without seeing a daily volume candle close above 11.12
Even those who are a bit more experienced than those who hold spot, if they see an increase to the levels I mentioned, they can gradually sell from here and add again cheaply at lower levels, or let's say the trend turns and the increase starts, buying at a higher price above 11.12 and 14.85 can be safer than buying at this level and waiting. It's all about your experience and preferences.
👉 $LINK
I remember in my old posts that I said that the downtrend was confirmed after the closing below the deviation limits of the re-accumulation range above. Apart from the range low level, this limit level that I showed with the red box was also re-tested and could not be won, so it confirmed the decline many times.
Here too, the green box is an important S-R flip support level of almost 1.5 years. Also, the previous LL level (dashed green line) just below the green box coincides with the support level of an uptrend of almost 9 months (I did not draw it to avoid complicating the chart too much, but horizontal levels are enough). Therefore, it is very important to hold this level. If daily closings are seen below it, declines may deepen.
Ps: After completing the analysis and starting to write the post, I took a meal and rest break. With the developments in that period, I saw that the lower level was exceeded. Therefore, if the daily closing is below 11.85, the new break of structure (bos) is also considered to have occurred and the correction and decline scenario I described will continue.
You can draw and follow the LH and LL along with the market structure as I did in INJ. I only marked the last LH and LL and put this range in a dark gray box. Since there has not been a close below the level I marked with the dashed green line yet, it has not made a new bearish BOS (break of structure), but the downtrend continues.
It should not be forgotten that the downtrend continues as long as a new HH is not made and that intermediate increases are corrections. It would be useful to consider my same warnings for this analysis as well. Similarly, it can make a correction increase up to the trend resistance or imbalance zone and then continue its decrease.
As I said, the important thing is to see that it has made a new HH and confirm the trend reversal. Currently, this level is 16.0, but if a new breakout does not occur as the chart progresses, this level will be updated.
😳 My lack of motivation to share on social media
Actually there are many reasons but let me try to express a few:
First of all, as I said in my previous posts, my aim here is to be useful to people and the peace I feel when I feel the inner sense of being useful in return. Some may say it is ego satisfaction, but I don't think it has much to do with it. This is a different feeling, those who share the same feeling will understand what I am saying. I have mentioned my past experiences and recent efforts in previous posts. I am already on my own path full time and I do not need such a thing.
After I started writing on X, I received an invitation from the Square team and decided to write here without expecting any return or benefit. Because there is no specific audience for a topic on X, there is a general audience, but since there will be people directly interested in crypto here, I thought I could reach more people and be useful. In addition, I thought that through mutual sharing and analysis, I could gain new perspectives and have an opportunity to develop further.
After sharing on the platform for a while, it didn't take long for me to realize that this was just a one-sided monologue. I kept trying a little more, but the reach of the posts wasn't as high as I expected, and the interaction received in return for the views was very low. There could be various reasons for this:
- People may not need my posts or find them valuable
- The Square algorithm may give low scores to the content according to its own criteria and not present it to a large audience
- The fact that people who see the post don't interact enough and don't exchange ideas or show that they like it may also support this
- etc...
The fact that random messages that do not contain any ideas or analysis, copy paste news and even support calls from unexperienced users receive tens or even hundreds of times more views and interactions than my posts. Those are at the forefront of my questions. Whether it is user-preference or algorithm-preference, in such a situation, there is no point in making posts that take time, are based on information and analysis, and that I put effort into.
Of course, there are also external factors such as macroeconomic developments, crypto being in the second/third plan for me for a while, the manipulations developed by crypto exchanges in collaboration with offshore market maker companies that bother me, etc.
Ultimately, these are the main things that tell me that there is no point in continuing to share.
That's all for now. I wish you lots of earnings and success.
I stopped writing on social media for 3 weeks. You were the first and only one to write in this period. For this reason, as I promised, I am sharing the up-to-date analysis of $INJ and $LINK with you.
If I hadn't received your message, I had no intention of making a new post. I don't know if I'll continue writing in the future, to be honest. 🙄 I will write a few things about why I stopped writing at the end of this post.
First of all, I looked at some of the analyses I have made since my last post, and I saw that the analyses are still valid and continue in line with the scenarios I explained, since what I said daily and in the longer term is not something that quickly loses its relevance. For this reason, past posts can still be used for a while.
👉 $INJ
I drew the market structure and added a simple downtrend resistance. As you can see from the market structure, unless 11.12 (updated as the chart progresses) is broken and a new HH is made, the daily trend will continue to fall. If the green box support does not hold, it is possible to see prices of $4 and $3.
After a fall to support or slightly above, a correction rise (pullback) may be seen like the previous ones. In this case, this intermediate zone can be traded by considering the warning I made about 11.12, without forgetting that it is still in a downtrend.
The price can rise to the resistance line or fill the imbalance above with a quick wick and then continue to fall. The reaction rise should not be perceived as a trend reversal without seeing a daily volume candle close above 11.12
Even those who are a bit more experienced than those who hold spot, if they see an increase to the levels I mentioned, they can gradually sell from here and add again cheaply at lower levels, or let's say the trend turns and the increase starts, buying at a higher price above 11.12 and 14.85 can be safer than buying at this level and waiting. It's all about your experience and preferences.
👉 $LINK
I remember in my old posts that I said that the downtrend was confirmed after the closing below the deviation limits of the re-accumulation range above. Apart from the range low level, this limit level that I showed with the red box was also re-tested and could not be won, so it confirmed the decline many times.
Here too, the green box is an important S-R flip support level of almost 1.5 years. Also, the previous LL level (dashed green line) just below the green box coincides with the support level of an uptrend of almost 9 months (I did not draw it to avoid complicating the chart too much, but horizontal levels are enough). Therefore, it is very important to hold this level. If daily closings are seen below it, declines may deepen.
Ps: After completing the analysis and starting to write the post, I took a meal and rest break. With the developments in that period, I saw that the lower level was exceeded. Therefore, if the daily closing is below 11.85, the new break of structure (bos) is also considered to have occurred and the correction and decline scenario I described will continue.
You can draw and follow the LH and LL along with the market structure as I did in INJ. I only marked the last LH and LL and put this range in a dark gray box. Since there has not been a close below the level I marked with the dashed green line yet, it has not made a new bearish BOS (break of structure), but the downtrend continues.
It should not be forgotten that the downtrend continues as long as a new HH is not made and that intermediate increases are corrections. It would be useful to consider my same warnings for this analysis as well. Similarly, it can make a correction increase up to the trend resistance or imbalance zone and then continue its decrease.
As I said, the important thing is to see that it has made a new HH and confirm the trend reversal. Currently, this level is 16.0, but if a new breakout does not occur as the chart progresses, this level will be updated.
😳 My lack of motivation to share on social media
Actually there are many reasons but let me try to express a few:
First of all, as I said in my previous posts, my aim here is to be useful to people and the peace I feel when I feel the inner sense of being useful in return. Some may say it is ego satisfaction, but I don't think it has much to do with it. This is a different feeling, those who share the same feeling will understand what I am saying. I have mentioned my past experiences and recent efforts in previous posts. I am already on my own path full time and I do not need such a thing.
After I started writing on X, I received an invitation from the Square team and decided to write here without expecting any return or benefit. Because there is no specific audience for a topic on X, there is a general audience, but since there will be people directly interested in crypto here, I thought I could reach more people and be useful. In addition, I thought that through mutual sharing and analysis, I could gain new perspectives and have an opportunity to develop further.
After sharing on the platform for a while, it didn't take long for me to realize that this was just a one-sided monologue. I kept trying a little more, but the reach of the posts wasn't as high as I expected, and the interaction received in return for the views was very low. There could be various reasons for this:
- People may not need my posts or find them valuable
- The Square algorithm may give low scores to the content according to its own criteria and not present it to a large audience
- The fact that people who see the post don't interact enough and don't exchange ideas or show that they like it may also support this
- etc...
The fact that random messages that do not contain any ideas or analysis, copy paste news and even support calls from unexperienced users receive tens or even hundreds of times more views and interactions than my posts. Those are at the forefront of my questions. Whether it is user-preference or algorithm-preference, in such a situation, there is no point in making posts that take time, are based on information and analysis, and that I put effort into.
Of course, there are also external factors such as macroeconomic developments, crypto being in the second/third plan for me for a while, the manipulations developed by crypto exchanges in collaboration with offshore market maker companies that bother me, etc.
Ultimately, these are the main things that tell me that there is no point in continuing to share.
That's all for now. I wish you lots of earnings and success.
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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