Bitcoin's current profit has remained above $100,000, indicating investor confidence. BTC is now trading at $103,527, a 4.3% increase in 24 hours and 33% in a month.

The market is currently 5% behind its January peak, but technical and on-chain signs indicate ongoing accumulation.

The recent increase comes amid economic uncertainty and geopolitical turmoil. Darkfost from CryptoQuant says that the current market dynamics are similar to those of about five years ago, with extreme volatility and competing economic explanations.

Central banks like the Federal Reserve have adopted a cautious attitude, but trade agreements and budget maneuvers have increased investor interest in risk.

Darkfost indicates that the Bitcoin Growth Rate indicator has turned positive as BTC recovers to $100,000. The researcher says that the current market characteristics align with the cycle of June 2020, especially in how external political events affect asset movements.

Recent trade discussions from the Trump administration and the aggressive global political stance are driving swift market responses in stocks and cryptocurrencies. Darkfost says this sentiment-driven atmosphere makes it difficult to predict price trends using standard measures.

News-driven narratives complicate things. Darkfost said:

This can be attributed to headline-driven effects like 'You should buy stocks now' and Trump's pursuit of trade agreements, such as today's with the UK.

Another analyst from CryptoQuant, caueconomy, found that major Bitcoin holders have remained committed during the market recovery. In the last month, 'whale' wallets accumulated 41,300 BTC.

This sustained accumulation, notably from institutional investors and organizations, suggests strategic positioning despite contradictory macroeconomic signals.

Instead of retail speculation, caueconomy says that institutional firms are using retained earnings and debt issuance to accumulate.

This 'passive' capital flow may maintain demand pressure regardless of market cycles.

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