💰 **Federal Reserve Balance Increases by $1.6 Billion in One Week!**

**👤 Williams, Federal Reserve Chair:**

- I expect a significant slowdown in economic growth, as well as an increase in inflation and unemployment.

- Price stability is the foundation for the Federal Reserve.

- Inflation will return to 2%.

- The next few quarters will shed light on the state of the economy.

- Trump's comments do not complicate the Fed's work.

**👤 Kugler, Federal Reserve Chair:**

- It is unclear how trade policy will change the economic situation.

- We see some risk of inflation rising due to tariffs.

- The U.S. economy has been resilient so far.

- The U.S. GDP in the first quarter showed a leading impact from the introduction of trade tariffs.

**👤 Barr, Federal Reserve Chair:**

- The Fed may face a difficult situation if both inflation and unemployment rise.

- There were some anomalous data in the U.S. GDP for the first quarter.

**💥 Market Expectations (Fed Rate):**

- June 18: PAUSE.

- July 30: Cut by 25 bps to 4.00-4.25%.

- September 17: PAUSE.

- October 29: Cut by 25 bps to 3.75-4.00%. Cut by 25 bps to 3.50-3.75%.

- December 10: Cut by 25 bps to 3.50-3.75%.

- January 28, 2026: PAUSE.

- March 18, 2026: Cut by 25 bps to 3.25-3.50%.

```

#TradeOfTheWeek ```