Your analysis on $TRUMP looks sharp and well-structured—especially spotting the bull trap and identifying that 1H rejection at $14.95. Here’s a phased breakdown of your short trade setup for $TRUMPUSDT (spot):
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Bearish Trade Idea (Spot) – $TRUMP
Phase 1: Setup & Trigger
Market Behavior: Sharp rejection from $14.95 = bull trap confirmed on 1H. Momentum shift to bears.
Entry Zone: $13.80 – $13.70
(This zone acts as a breakdown confirmation after the failed high.)
Phase 2: Target Zones
TP1: $13.20
(Likely first support zone from previous consolidation range.)
TP2: $12.65
(Deeper support – could act as a full mean-reversion zone.)
Phase 3: Risk Management
Stop-Loss: Above $14.95
(Invalidation of the setup; breakout from the bull trap = trend shift.)
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Entry at $13.75, SL at $15.00 → Risk: $1.25
TP1 = +$0.55 | TP2 = +$1.10 → R:R ≈ 0.44 to 0.88
Best used as a scalp, not a swing trade.
Condition:
Must stay under $14.00 to keep bearish momentum valid.
Watch for any bullish divergences on RSI/MACD near TP1 – could hint at bounce risk.
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Let me know if you want this turned into a trading journal template or need updated support/resistance levels from the 4H chart.