Judgment of Entry Timing: Wait for the Vacuum Period After 'Double Killing' of Longs and Shorts
Key Observation Points: 📊 Contract Open Interest Plummets: When the short squeeze ends and long open interest decreases by more than 30%, the market enters a 'Confused Period'.
📊 Large On-chain Transfers: If more than 10 million USDT flows out of exchange addresses, it may signal institutional buying.
Right-side Trading Strategy: 🛑 Price Pullback to the $9.5-10 Range: If accompanied by an RSI indicator dropping below 40, positions can be built in batches. 🛑 Spot ETF Fund Inflows:
If mainstream platforms (such as Grayscale, BlackRock) report a net inflow of more than $50 million in a single day for related products, it is considered a long-term signal. 💣【Risk Warning: Beware of 'Whale' Dual Harvesting】Common Tactics of Market Makers:
🔄 Pump-Then-Dump-Then-Lure: First, pump the price to $11.5 to attract buyers, then dump it to $9 to trigger panic selling, and finally pump it back to $12.
🔄 Manipulating News: Using 'favorable' rumors (such as listing on mainstream exchanges) combined with price pumping, in reality, it's preparing for unloading.
Survival Rules: ⚠️ Never Over-leverage: Single trade position ≤ 5% of total capital to avoid liquidation in a one-sided market. ⚠️ Set Stop-loss: Set stop-loss for contract trading at 5%-8% of entry price, and take profits in batches for spot trading (e.g., 20%, 30%, 50% of positions). 📢【Core Conclusion: Bears Pause, Bulls Wait, Let the Market Speak for Itself】
Current Stage: The battle between longs and shorts has entered a 'Heat Phase', where excessive bets by either side may backfire.
Operational Suggestions:
Bears: Stop shorting, switch to a wait-and-see or hedging strategy. Bulls: Reduce positions to below 50%, waiting for a pullback opportunity. Retail Investors: Stay away from leverage, focus on regular investment in spot.
🔮【Future Outlook】
If the price oscillates in the $11-12 range for more than 3 days and does not break below the $10 support, a new round of upward movement may begin; conversely, if it breaks below $9, caution is needed for a deep pullback to $7.
Lu Yao is also continuing to plan for Shen Dan...
Leave 999 below without a long position to get on the bus
