#TradeOfTheWeek

• Asset: BTC/USD (Bitcoin spot)

• Entry Zone: $96,200–$96,800 (near 200-day MA and multi-week support)

• Catalyst: Anticipation of a “hold” decision at the May 8 FOMC meeting, historically a bullish trigger for risk assets when Fed funds stay unchanged.

Trade Details:

• Position Size: 2% of portfolio equity (defined risk)

• Stop-Loss: $94,500 (below the 50-day MA and key support)

• Initial Target: $101,500 (psychological $100K level + 5% above)

• Time Horizon: 3–5 trading days, capturing post-announcement momentum

Outcome: BTC spiked to $101,800 within 48 h as Powell signalled a data-dependent stance—trade closed at target for ~5.4% net gain (risk:reward ≈ 1:2.7).

Key Takeaways: High-Probability Confluence: Aligning technical support (200-day MA) with macro catalysts (Fed hold) boosts odds.

Defined Risk: Strict stop-loss under key moving averages ensures a small, acceptable loss if the thesis fails.

Discipline & Execution: Timely scaling in at support and trimming into strength locked in gains without turning greedy.

💡 Markets often overreact to macro events—use defined setups and stick to your plan. What was your trade of the week?