KOMA/USDT Short Position Analysis | 4H Chart

The Surge Before the Slip?

Current Price: $0.02844

24H Range: $0.0172 – $0.0344

Volume: 2.51B KOMAs — Extremely high

Key Observations:

1. Parabolic Move Up

Classic vertical candle often followed by retracement.

Unsustainable price action — usually driven by FOMO, news, or short squeeze.

2. Overbought Signals

RSI near 90 — historically signals potential top exhaustion.

MFI near 90 — indicates strong inflow, but often reverses as buyers get trapped.

3. Strong Resistance Hit

Tapped $0.0344 — psychological and technical rejection likely.

Immediate candle wick indicates seller pressure at highs.

Short Entry Strategy:

Entry Zone: $0.0300 – $0.0320 (wait for bearish confirmation — e.g., wick rejections, shooting star)

Stop-Loss: $0.0355 (above local high)

Target 1: $0.0260

Target 2: $0.0230

Target 3 (full retrace zone): $0.0200

RR Ratio: ~1:2.5 to 1:3+

Confirmation Triggers to Watch:

4H candle closes as inverted hammer or bearish engulfing

Declining volume on next green candle

RSI & MFI curve down from current peaks

Caution:

If $0.035 is broken with high volume, abort the short — could extend to $0.045–0.05 in a mania run.

Consider scaling in with a tight stop and proper risk control.

Final Note: Wait for exhaustion — don’t short a rocket blindly. Let the bulls trap themselves first.