🚨"Is the 'Altcoin Season' over? Are these people only looking at the market for a day?"
Many people have recently started to be bearish, saying things like "there's no more altcoin season" and "the bull-bear cycle is ineffective"...
I think, if this bull market really follows a four-year cycle, wouldn't the peak be in 2025? It’s not even the end of 2025 yet, so why the rush to conclusions?
Recall that the peak of the bull market in 2017 only exploded from September to December, right?
Now we haven't even reached September, and altcoins have been sentenced to death?
Moreover, regarding the statement "there are too many coins and not enough money to pump them":
Indeed, tens of thousands of new coins are added every day, and they can be launched with one click, but how many worthless coins have you actually seen listed on mainstream exchanges with a market cap in the millions?
Data tells you the answer:
• There are only over 9700 coins listed on CMC
• Only about 17000 on CoinTiger
This is a different matter from the claim of "one hundred million coins on the whole chain".
The main players are still looking to pump coins that have liquidity on mainstream platforms, not the "Dogecoin" that a friend from the group posted.
To put it simply, it’s not that there’s no altcoin season, it’s just that the “script” for altcoin season hasn’t played out yet:
• Bitcoin's market share needs to rush above 70%
• Then break through previous highs and consolidate for a few days
• Only then will altcoins follow and truly experience a peak!
Looking back at the two small peaks in 2024 (March, December):
• BTC's market share did not break 70%
• After breaking the new high, it did not continue to rise
• So it’s reasonable that altcoins only jumped once before being hammered down.
But if you look back at the start of the bull market in 2021:
• BTC broke 70% in January, and then tripled within three months
• Altcoins started with tens of times increases
This was the true rhythm of a major bull market.
So the conclusion is simple:
As long as BTC can break new highs and stay there, altcoin season will definitely come!
But if BTC breaks through and then falls back, it really will be over.
I personally still have high hopes for altcoin opportunities in the next six months, of course, the premise is—BTC has to perform well!
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