Bitcoin (BTC) has shown an impressive recovery and a strong upward trend during the early months of 2025, driven by institutional flows, technological adoption, and the recent halving. However, technical analysts are beginning to identify signs of momentum exhaustion and warn that the cryptocurrency is approaching a possible cycle peak.

📊 Critical Zone: $107,000 – $115,000

The range between $107,000 and $115,000 is shaping up to be the most significant technical resistance zone since the rally that started in 2023. This range brings together a series of confluences:

  • Historical resistance: $107,000 corresponds to the previous highs recorded at the end of 2024.

  • Fibonacci Extension 1.618: Projects the end of the upward momentum from lows of $30,000.

  • Psychological resistance: Round figures like $110,000 and $115,000 often attract profit-taking and volatility.

According to technical analysts, a failed breakout or a firm rejection in this zone could mark the beginning of a significant corrective phase.

🔎 Technical Indicators

  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) starts to show readings close to 70, suggesting overbought conditions in daily and weekly time frames.

  • The buying volume shows signs of weakening, as the price approaches new highs.

  • Possible bearish divergences are observed in indicators like MACD and RSI, which have historically anticipated significant pullbacks in previous cycles.

📉 Short to Long Term Potential

For futures traders or medium-term directional strategies, this zone offers an opportunity to assess short (selling short) trades, especially if the price shows clear rejection and is confirmed with reversal patterns like "shooting star" or "bearish engulfing."

Nevertheless, analysts warn that one should not enter against the trend without clear technical confirmation, as bull markets can extend irrationally beyond projected levels.

Bitcoin approaches a key technical and psychological point that could define the direction of the second half of 2025. While the trend remains bullish, the range between $107,000 and $115,000 could act as a natural ceiling for the cycle, opening the door to technical corrections or deeper consolidations.