1. Daily Frame (1D) – Long-term Still Up but Signs of Correction Appear
• Current price: 0.7076 USDC (+3.94%)
• EMA Line: EMA(7) = 0.6868 > EMA(25) = 0.6787 → Mid-term uptrend is maintained.
• RSI indicator: RSI(6) = 63.34 (approaching overbought zone), RSI(12) = 57.60, RSI(24) = 49.57 → Buying pressure is strong, but caution is beginning to be necessary.
• MACD: DIF (0.0065) < DEA (0.0069), MACD Histogram (-0.0003) → Signals hidden negative divergence, warning of weakening upward momentum.
• Support – Resistance:
• Support: 0.7076 → 0.6712 → 0.6131
• Resistance: 0.7292 → 0.7741
Assessment:
Long-term uptrend still dominates. However, MACD and RSI warn of the risk of correction if the price cannot hold at 0.7076.
2. 4-Hour Frame (4H) – Losing Upward Momentum, Waiting for Correction to Support Zone
• Current price: 0.7063 USDC (+3.91%)
• EMA: EMA(7) = 0.6847 > EMA(25) = 0.6791; EMA(99) = 0.6809 → Still in a short-term uptrend.
• RSI: RSI(6) = 74.36 (near overbought), RSI(12) = 63.74 → Possibility of correction.
• MACD: DIF (0.0004) > DEA (-0.0046); MACD Histogram (+0.0050) → Upward momentum is weakening.
• Volume: 1.23M < MA(5) = 5.35M → Buying power is declining.
Assessment:
Uptrend is losing momentum. If RSI drops to the 50–60 range, it may be a buying opportunity around the support zone of 0.6879 – 0.6760.
3. Hourly Frame (1H) – RSI Overbought, Need Caution with Correction
• Current price: 0.7077 USDC (+3.95%)
• EMA: EMA(7) = 0.6901 > EMA(25) = 0.6772 → Still maintaining an uptrend.
• RSI: RSI(6) = 89.73, RSI(12) = 76.86 → Strong overbought zone.
• MACD: DIF (0.0065) > DEA (0.0023); MACD Histogram = +0.0042 → No clear negative divergence yet.
Assessment:
Short-term overbought is very clear. Warning of potential correction to the nearby support zone: 0.6976 – 0.6829.
4. 15-Minute Frame (15M) – High Volatility, Avoid FOMO Buying
• Current price: 0.7079 USDC (+3.98%)
• EMA: EMA(7) = 0.7015 > EMA(25) = 0.6872
• RSI: RSI(6) = 90.59 → Extremely overbought.
• MACD: DIF (0.0096) > DEA (0.0076) → Uptrend still has strength.
Assessment:
RSI is too high at a dangerous level. Should wait for a correction to 0.6976 – 0.6879 before considering a new buy position.
5. 5-Minute Frame (5M) – Suitable Only for Scalping
• Current price: 0.7082 USDC (+4.02%)
• EMA: EMA(7) = 0.7058 > EMA(25) = 0.6988
• RSI: RSI(6) = 82.72 → Short-term overbought.
• MACD: DIF ≈ DEA ≈ 0.0053 → No clear trend.
Assessment:
Should only use this frame for quick trades. Not suitable for medium/long-term positions.
Suggested Trading Strategy
Scenario 1 – Buy on correction (Buy the Dip)
• Potential buy zone: 0.6879 – 0.6760
• Take profit: 0.7292
• Stop loss: Below 0.6712
• R:R ratio: ~1:2
• Probability of success: ~65%
Scenario 2 – Short selling (Short if support breaks)
• Entry point: When the price breaks 0.7076 and RSI(1H) drops below 60
• Take profit: 0.6829 → 0.6712
• Stop loss: Above 0.7124
• Probability of success: ~55% (due to weak MACD signal)
Conclusion & Risk Management
✅ Opportunity:
• Long-term main trend still leans towards up.
• If the price corrects to the support zone, the probability of recovery is quite high.
⚠️ Risk:
• RSI in smaller frames is strongly overbought → Warning of short-term correction.
• Trading volume decreases → Lack of sustainable buying power.
Priority strategy:
• Wait to buy in the 0.6879 – 0.6760 range to optimize R:R.
• If trading short-term, need tight stop-loss around 0.7076.
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