🚨🚨The Fed Countdown Has Begun: Markets Bet on Three Cuts by Year-End
Forget what Jerome Powell says — the markets are already pricing what he won’t admit yet.
According to CME FedWatch and futures data, the market has mapped out a soft landing scenario with a clear rate-cut trajectory. Here’s how the expectations unfold:
• June 18 — No change. Another pause to “wait and see.”
• July 30 — The first 25 bps cut brings rates to 4.00–4.25%
• September 17 — Another 25 bps cut, now 3.75–4.00%
• October 29 — Third cut in a row, down to 3.50–3.75%
• December 10 — Pause again. Time to reassess.
• January 28, 2026 — A potential fourth cut, lowering to 3.25–3.50%
• March 18, 2026 — Pause (for now).
This roadmap reflects investor belief that inflation will cool, the labor market will loosen, and the Fed will finally shift from defense to stimulus — even if Powell keeps playing the “data dependent” card.
But here’s the twist: these projections aren’t forecasts — they’re bets. Bets placed by traders, funds, and algorithms reading every line from FOMC minutes, Powell speeches, and global macro stress.
To the #AMAGE community:
Will the market be right — again?
Or is this another episode of “rate cut hopium” colliding with stubborn inflation?