$BTC 1. 2025 Quarterly Outlook
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2. Bullish Case (2025–2026)
Price Target: $120,000 – $180,000
Catalysts:
Mass institutional adoption (BlackRock, Fidelity ETFs)
Increased Bitcoin scarcity post-halving
Retail resurgence due to media hype and FOMO
Geopolitical uncertainty (flight to hard assets)
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3. Bearish Case
Price Floor: $40,000 – $50,000
Risks:
Harsh crypto regulations (U.S., EU)
Global liquidity tightening or recession
A major exchange hack or collapse (like FTX in 2022)
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4. Neutral / Base Case
Average Range: $70,000 – $100,000
Assumptions:
Healthy adoption, balanced by global economic uncertainty
ETF flows offset by profit-taking and regulation concerns
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5. Long-Term (2030 Forecast)
Hyper-bullish Models (like Stock-to-Flow): $300K – $1M+
More Conservative Models: $150K – $250K
Factors: Global digital asset adoption, de-dollarization, BTC as digital gold
