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Federal Reserve – FOMC Meeting Summary (May 7, 2025)

Interest Rate Decision

The Federal Reserve voted to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, citing persistent inflation concerns.

Inflation Update

Core PCE inflation, the Fed’s preferred gauge, remained steady at 2.6%, showing little progress toward the 2% target.

Labor Market

The U.S. added 177,000 jobs in April, reflecting continued labor market resilience despite signs of slowing economic growth.

GDP Performance

Q1 2025 GDP contracted by 0.3%, driven by trade-related uncertainties and broader global economic headwinds.

Powell’s Remarks

Chair Jerome Powell reiterated the Fed’s data-dependent stance, stressing that rate cuts will only be considered once inflation trends decisively lower.

Market Outlook

Analysts anticipate a potential rate cut in July, contingent on upcoming inflation and employment data. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates rising market expectations for mid-year easing.

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