Tonight's Federal Reserve meeting, the market generally expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 4.25%-4.50% (probability over 98.3%), with only a 1.7% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has an 'ascending triangle' pattern, with a high probability of breaking out, but it requires news catalysts to support it. Therefore, the best scenario expected tonight is that Powell acknowledges the risk of economic slowdown, hints at a rate cut path in 2025, or emphasizes further slowing of balance sheet reduction, with Bitcoin aiming for the 100,000 mark.