The Survivor's Rule of Contract Trading: A Practical Handbook for Breaking Away from the 90% Loss Group
Investors staring at liquidation texts at three in the morning won’t know that their losses were determined long before they opened their positions. As a trader who stabilized profits after an 80% loss in a single week, I reveal the three survival rules that the market makers least want retail investors to understand.
1. The Genetic Pool of Losses Forged in Blood and Tears
Attribution analysis based on 3,000 liquidation cases
1. Leverage Suicide Formula
Actual survival time with 100x leverage = Trend continuation time ÷ (Volatility × 10)
Example: In the March 2024 ETH spike market, accounts using 50x leverage had an average survival time of 37 minutes
2. Emotional Trading Feedback Loop
Chasing highs and selling lows → Triggering stop-loss → Revenge trading → Capital goes to zero
Data monitoring shows: Trading decision accuracy drops by 62% under FOMO emotions
3. The Death Spiral of Holding Positions
Average loss expansion trajectory caused by the illusion of pullbacks:
At 10%: Normal adjustment
At 30%: A rebound is certain
At 50%: Wait for breakeven to exit
At 80%: Holding onto spot
2. Institutional-Level Trading Survival Framework
Ironclad rules that increase account survival rates by 8 times
1. Time Filter
Accuracy of K-line signals above the 4-hour level: 78.6%
Probability of false breakouts at the 15-minute level: 91.3%
2024 BTC quarterly data backtesting
2. Profit and Loss Ratio Control Matrix
Focus on BNB, MDT, DCR intraday
