Today and tomorrow (May 6 and 7, 2025), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the U.S. Federal Reserve will meet to decide on interest rates. Predictions indicate that the central bank will keep the interest rate unchanged, within the current range of 4.25% to 4.50%, amid ongoing anticipation regarding the impact of new tariffs on the U.S. economy.
Key updates:
1- High likelihood of stabilization: The "CME FedWatch" tool indicates that the likelihood of a rate cut at this meeting does not exceed 1.8%, reinforcing expectations of stabilization.
2- Political pressures without response: Despite President Trump's repeated calls to lower interest rates to support economic growth, the Federal Reserve remains cautious, pointing to inflation risks arising from the new tariffs.
3- Market anticipation: Markets, including cryptocurrencies and gold, are reacting cautiously to the expected decision. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have fallen, while gold has risen by more than 2%, supported by a weak dollar and increased demand for safe havens.