Token unlocks can pressure prices and increase unwanted liquidity in the market.
1) $LAYER: $78.62 million (issuance of 13.23% of the total)
2) $APT : $55.64 million (value of 1.82% of the total)
3) $MOVE: $8.22 million (value of 2% of the total)
4) $RNDR: $2.16 million (issuance of 0.10% of the total)
5) $AXL: $1.51 million (issuance of 0.41% of the total)
6) $WBT: $1.13 million (value of 27.41% of the total)
7) $MOCA: $212,000 (issuance of 1.65% of the total)
8) $1INCH: $2,920 (almost insignificant value)
9) $IOTA: zero unlock, but continues with a downward trend after falling 2.67% in the last 24 hours.
Despite the bullish outlook for Bitcoin this week, cryptocurrency investors should double their attention in the next 7 days. Nine projects are preparing to release large volumes of tokens, which could generate selling pressure and drive prices down in the short term.
The biggest warning comes from LAYER. With a scheduled unlock for the next five days, the project will release $78.62 million in tokens, equivalent to 12.87% of its total supply. Additionally, the issuance rate for the next seven days reaches 13.23%, the highest on the list.
Right behind is $APT (Aptos). The project will release $55.64 million in tokens in six days. This represents 1.82% of the supply, which may seem modest, but still has the potential to impact the market, as the asset has a market value of $3.09 billion.
$MOVE, another high-risk asset, will have an unlock of $8.22 million in just three days, which corresponds to 2% of the total supply. The weekly issuance, also 2%, reinforces the risk of a fall, especially in a low liquidity context.
$WBT (WhiteBIT Token) presents a similar situation. The unlock will be $1.13 million, but its weekly issuance reaches 27.41%, the highest among all analyzed tokens. This number is concerning even with a relatively low value, as it signals aggressive dilution for holders.
The $1INCH project will have a token unlock of $2,920, almost insignificant, but it is worth noting that 92.4% of the supply is already in circulation, which reduces the chance of immediate impact.
$AXS (Axie Infinity) releases $1.51 million in six days. Although the percentage is low (0.41%), the coin's low moment, with a drop of 1.28% in the last 24 hours, may increase the asset's fragility.
Render ($RNDR) shows $2.16 million in unlocks, which represents only 0.10% of the total, but deserves attention due to the recent appreciation of 1.62%, which may attract profit-taking.
$MOCA and $IOTA complete the list. The first releases $212,000, with an issuance of 1.65% of the total, while the second has zero unlock, but continues with a downward trend after falling 2.67% in the last 24 hours.
Token unlocks increase selling pressure
Historically, token unlocks have caused a strong impact on various cryptocurrency projects. By releasing large volumes of assets into the market, these movements increase the circulating supply and generate immediate selling pressure, especially in tokens with limited liquidity or low organic demand.
In January 2024, the Aptos (APT) project underwent a token unlock of approximately $234 million, equivalent to more than 10% of its supply. In the following days, the price of the coin fell more than 12%, according to CoinGecko data. The movement scared investors and caused the token to temporarily lose its support zone.
Another emblematic case occurred with Optimism (OP), which in March 2024 released OPs equivalent to $650 million, aimed at investors and the team. In the days leading up to the unlock, the price fell 18% in seven days, even with the broader market rising. The fear of massive selling was the main factor for the drop.
Token Unlocks data shows that, in the last 12 months, the largest unlocks occurred in layer 2 projects, metaverse, and DeFi infrastructure. These events, when combined with periods of low liquidity or market contraction, tend to amplify volatility and cause sharp declines.
In April 2025, the ARB (Arbitrum) token released 1.1 billion tokens, the largest single unlock ever recorded in the sector. The release, which represented almost 90% of the remaining supply, dropped the price by more than 22% in just three days, according to a report by Messari. The market took weeks to absorb the new supply.
Follow Cointelegraph Brazil to keep up with real-time news: we are on X, Telegram, Facebook, Instagram, and YouTube, with analyses, experts, interviews, and breaking news from the crypto and blockchain market in Brazil and Latin America.
(External source that cannot be cited in this article due to Binance rules)