⛔ Emergency Warning: The market will experience strong fluctuations today and tomorrow (Especially for you guys #long #short)
📅 Meeting time and content
Meeting date: May 6–7, 2025
Decision announcement time: 2:00 AM on May 8 according to Hanoi time
Press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell: 2:30 AM on May 8 according to Hanoi time
📊 Economic outlook and interest rate decision
Current interest rate: 4.25%–4.50% (maintained since December 2024)
Recent economic data:
Previous quarter GDP: Decreased by 0.3%
Employment: Added 177,000 jobs in April
Inflation: Core PCE index increased by 2.6% compared to the same period last year
Despite the decline in GDP, the labor market remains stable. However, the new tax policies of President Trump have raised concerns about the possibility of recession. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in this meeting and may consider cutting rates later in the year, depending on further economic developments.
💬 Market reaction
Gold price: Increased to the highest level in two weeks, reaching $3,357.63/ounce, due to safe-haven demand and a weakening USD.
Bond market: Short-term bond yields decreased, reflecting market expectations of potential interest rate cuts in the future.
Stocks: The S&P 500 index fell after a nine-day consecutive rise, as investors awaited signals from
🕵️♂️ Predictions from experts
Chairman #JeromePowell: Expected to maintain a cautious stance, emphasizing inflation control and labor market stability.
Market expectations: Some analysts predict that the Fed may start cutting interest rates from July or December, depending on the next economic data.
