Hey Traders,
We’ve been watching this Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart closely — and it’s heating up again!
For those unfamiliar, BTC Dominance tracks the percentage of total crypto market cap that belongs to Bitcoin. When BTC.D rises, it typically means altcoins are underperforming compared to BTC — either due to their market caps falling, or BTC’s increasing. When it drops, altcoins are gaining ground.
While this chart won’t tell you whether markets go up or down, it’s critical for spotting where to diversify and when. It’s a must-have tool in your crypto trading utility belt.
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Why This Chart Matters Now:
We’re nearing the top resistance trendline of a long-term triangle formation that dates all the way back to 2017. This line has rejected BTC.D multiple times in the past — and we’re back to test it again, hovering between 63% and 66% dominance.
Each of these rejections previously led to a drop in BTC Dominance — which triggered powerful altcoin seasons.
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Key Bearish Signals:
• Bearish Divergence on the MACD
• MAJOR Bearish Divergence on the RSI
(Just like before previous alt seasons!)
• TOTAL2 (the white line representing all altcoins) looks poised to spike if history repeats.
Altseason Clue: When BTC.D forms bearish divergences on these indicators, it’s often followed by a surge in altcoin market cap — a key early signal we may be close to another one.
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BUT… This Isn’t 2021 Anymore:
Let’s be real — the market has changed. Solana-based launchpads like Pump.fun and Jupiter DEX have revolutionized how easily tokens are created and traded. That’s new capital flow and speculative behavior we didn’t see last cycle.
Plus, the geopolitical landscape is shifting fast. With President Donald J. Trump calling for crypto regulation frameworks within 180 days, we may soon see an influx of institutional money — but it could come with strings attached.
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Final Thoughts:
A breakdown in BTC.D could mean a major rotation into alts — but don’t bet the farm.
Markets could still dump. We may even skip altseason altogether this cycle.
However, this chart gives you a crucial edge — so use it wisely. Know your tools. Zoom out. Plan ahead.
As always — stay sharp, stay safe, and stay profitable out there.