Non-farm data surprises 🥶 Will the Federal Reserve dare to cut interest rates now?
Hey folks, take a look! The U.S. April non-farm data has just been released, with an increase of 177,000 jobs directly contradicting recession theories. Now the market is completely baffled—does this mean the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut script needs to be rewritten?
Data interpretation trio: #加密市场回调
1️⃣ Employment boost: 177,000 new jobs far exceeded expectations. Is the wave of layoffs just an illusion?
2️⃣ Unemployment rate holds steady: 4.2% remains unchanged. What happened to the promised economic recession?
3️⃣ Wage inflation ticking: Hourly wages rose by 0.3%, making it harder to curb service inflation.
Next, three possible scenarios: 30524692575
🔥 Most hawkish version: The economy is so strong, the Federal Reserve directly states, "Don't expect interest rate cuts in 2024."
🤑 Compromise route: Continue playing the "higher for longer" game, symbolically cutting 25 basis points in December.
💣 Black swan warning: Sudden spikes in oil and food prices, leading to a secondary inflation outbreak.
Guidelines for retail investors: $BTC
- U.S. stocks: Be cautious about chasing highs, beware of the Federal Reserve turning hawkish.
- Gold: Short-term pressure, but geopolitical risks provide support.
- Bitcoin: 88,000 is the key dividing line; breaking this level could test 80,000.
Pay close attention to the May 10 CPI data; this is the real game-changer.
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